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Among other things, national team matches are also distinguished by a wide range of opponents. That is, a statistically average..
Date added:
11/06/2024
TOP MATCHES
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Monaco VS Brest Free! |
Last round phenomenon.
The team of the site Corner-stats.com found interesting tendency ofthe last round of European domestic leagues:the most of teams have a little motivation to gain points as it can’t affect their table place and therefore mostly teams try to show exciting attacking football with many goals scored. So, our hypothesis is that “usually in last round there are many goals”.
Look at the summary table of bets on “total over” for all matches of the last round.
We have researched 11 top European leagues of 2017 season and selected 97 matches and odds of Bet365.Thus the next results were obtained (bets on “total goals over”):
|
№ of League |
№ of matches |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
|||||
|
YIELD |
Profit |
YIELD |
Profit |
YIELD |
Profit |
||||
|
11 |
97 |
0,62% |
0,6 |
1,48% |
1,44 |
2,46% |
2,39 |
||
This leagues are:
|
№ |
League |
№ of matches |
Goals Total |
|||
|
Home |
Away |
Total |
Average |
|||
|
1 |
PremierLeague (England) |
10 |
16 |
19 |
35 |
3,50 |
|
2 |
Bundesliga (Germany) |
9 |
19 |
16 |
35 |
3,89 |
|
3 |
Serie A (Italy) |
10 |
26 |
18 |
44 |
4,40 |
|
4 |
PrimeraDivision (Spain) |
10 |
22 |
15 |
37 |
3,70 |
|
5 |
Ligue 1 (France) |
10 |
17 |
9 |
26 |
2,60 |
|
6 |
PremierLeague (Russia) |
8 |
13 |
12 |
25 |
3,13 |
|
7 |
CzechLiga (Czech-republic) |
8 |
12 |
6 |
18 |
2,25 |
|
8 |
PrimeiraLiga (Portugal) |
9 |
18 |
9 |
27 |
3,00 |
|
9 |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) |
8 |
12 |
8 |
20 |
2,50 |
|
10 |
ProLeague (Belgium) |
8 |
11 |
13 |
24 |
3,00 |
|
11 |
Superliga (Denmark) |
7 |
10 |
11 |
21 |
3,00 |
|
12 |
Premier League (Ukraine) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
From the results it can be seen that all leagues (except for Chezh one) had average total goals over 2.5 per match in the last round.
And now, the statsof Leagues (green shading – the odds from 1xBet, where we didn’t have odds from Bet365):
|
№ |
Premier League (England) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
21.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
Odd |
profit |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
Arsenal - Everton |
3 |
1 |
1,97 |
0,97 |
1,53 |
0,53 |
1,36 |
0,36 |
|
2 |
Man Utd - Crystal Palace |
0 |
0 |
3,1 |
-1 |
2,5 |
-1 |
1,96 |
-1 |
|
3 |
Hull - Tottenham |
1 |
7 |
2,06 |
1,06 |
1,6 |
0,6 |
1,4 |
0,4 |
|
4 |
Leicester - Bournemouth |
1 |
1 |
2,2 |
-1 |
1,75 |
-1 |
1,48 |
-1 |
|
5 |
Burnley - West Ham |
1 |
2 |
2,85 |
-1 |
2,3 |
0 |
1,8 |
0,8 |
|
6 |
Chelsea - Sunderland |
5 |
1 |
1,73 |
0,73 |
1,4 |
0,4 |
1,29 |
0,29 |
|
7 |
Southampton - Stoke |
0 |
1 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2,1 |
-1 |
1,7 |
-1 |
|
8 |
Watford - Man City |
0 |
5 |
1,75 |
0,75 |
1,43 |
0,43 |
1,3 |
0,3 |
|
9 |
Swansea - WestBrom |
2 |
1 |
3,1 |
-1 |
2,5 |
0 |
1,96 |
0,96 |
|
10 |
Liverpool - Middlesbrough |
3 |
0 |
2 |
-1 |
1,53 |
0 |
1,38 |
0,38 |
|
10 |
Total |
|
|
|
-2,49 |
|
-1,04 |
|
0,49 |
|
№ |
Bundesliga (Germany) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
20.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
BayernMunich - SC Freiburg |
4 |
1 |
1,38 |
0,38 |
1,18 |
0,18 |
1,14 |
0,14 |
|
2 |
BorussiaDortmu - WerderBremen |
4 |
3 |
1,4 |
0,4 |
1,18 |
0,18 |
1,14 |
0,14 |
|
3 |
BorussiaM'glad - Darmstadt |
2 |
2 |
1,87 |
0,87 |
1,48 |
0,48 |
1,33 |
0,33 |
|
4 |
HerthaBerlin - BayerLeverkuse |
2 |
6 |
2,6 |
1,6 |
2,08 |
1,08 |
1,68 |
0,68 |
|
5 |
Cologne - Mainz |
2 |
0 |
2,5 |
-1 |
2,03 |
-1 |
1,63 |
-1 |
|
6 |
Hamburg - Wolfsburg |
2 |
1 |
3,1 |
-1 |
2,43 |
0 |
1,9 |
0,9 |
|
7 |
FC Ingolstadt - Schalke |
1 |
1 |
2,5 |
-1 |
2,03 |
-1 |
1,65 |
-1 |
|
8 |
TSG Hoffenheim - Augsburg |
0 |
0 |
2,1 |
-1 |
1,68 |
-1 |
1,45 |
-1 |
|
9 |
EintrachtFrank - RB Leipzig |
2 |
2 |
2,75 |
1,75 |
2,2 |
1,2 |
1,73 |
0,73 |
|
9 |
Total |
|
|
|
1,00 |
|
0,12 |
|
-0,08 |
|
№ |
Serie A (Italy) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
27-28.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
Fiorentina - Pescara |
2 |
2 |
1,6 |
0,6 |
1,3 |
0,3 |
1,22 |
0,22 |
|
2 |
Palermo - Empoli |
2 |
1 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2,15 |
0 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
|
3 |
Crotone - Lazio |
3 |
1 |
2,38 |
1,38 |
1,99 |
0,99 |
1,58 |
0,58 |
|
4 |
Torino - Sassuolo |
5 |
3 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
1,4 |
0,4 |
1,3 |
0,3 |
|
5 |
InterMilan - Udinese |
5 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1,53 |
0,53 |
1,36 |
0,36 |
|
6 |
Sampdoria - Napoli |
2 |
4 |
1,91 |
0,91 |
1,48 |
0,48 |
1,33 |
0,33 |
|
7 |
Roma - Genoa |
3 |
2 |
1,43 |
0,43 |
1,2 |
0,2 |
1,16 |
0,16 |
|
8 |
Cagliari - AC Milan |
2 |
1 |
2,01 |
-1 |
1,55 |
0 |
1,38 |
0,38 |
|
9 |
Bologna - Juventus |
1 |
2 |
2,5 |
-1 |
2,07 |
0 |
1,63 |
0,63 |
|
10 |
Atalanta - Chievo |
1 |
0 |
2,05 |
-1 |
1,63 |
-1 |
1,4 |
-1 |
|
10 |
Total |
|
|
|
1,02 |
|
1,90 |
|
2,66 |
|
№ |
PrimeraDivision (Spain) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
19-21.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
Barcelona - Eibar |
4 |
2 |
1,24 |
0,24 |
1,15 |
0,15 |
1,13 |
0,13 |
|
2 |
Malaga - RealMadrid |
0 |
2 |
1,53 |
-1 |
1,25 |
-1 |
1,19 |
-1 |
|
3 |
AtleticoMadrid - AthleticBilbao |
3 |
1 |
2,85 |
1,85 |
2,35 |
1,35 |
1,84 |
0,84 |
|
4 |
Valencia - Villarreal |
1 |
3 |
2,68 |
1,68 |
2,15 |
1,15 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
|
5 |
CeltaVigo - RealSociedad |
2 |
2 |
2,5 |
1,5 |
2,03 |
1,03 |
1,63 |
0,63 |
|
6 |
Sevilla - Osasuna |
5 |
0 |
1,5 |
0,5 |
1,24 |
0,24 |
1,19 |
0,19 |
|
7 |
Leganes - CD Alaves |
1 |
1 |
3,55 |
-1 |
3 |
-1 |
2,08 |
-1 |
|
8 |
D Coruna - LasPalmas |
3 |
0 |
2,15 |
-1 |
1,73 |
0 |
1,48 |
0,48 |
|
9 |
SportingGijon - RealBetis |
2 |
2 |
2,15 |
1,15 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
1,48 |
0,48 |
|
10 |
Granada - Espanyol |
1 |
2 |
2,5 |
-1 |
2 |
0 |
1,63 |
0,63 |
|
10 |
Total |
|
|
|
2,92 |
|
2,62 |
|
2,08 |
|
№ |
Ligue 1 (France) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
20.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
Nancy - StEtienne |
3 |
1 |
3,1 |
2,1 |
2,43 |
1,43 |
1,88 |
0,88 |
|
2 |
Lorient - Bordeaux |
1 |
1 |
2,38 |
-1 |
1,95 |
-1 |
1,58 |
-1 |
|
3 |
Lille - Nantes |
3 |
0 |
2,85 |
-1 |
2,3 |
0 |
1,8 |
0,8 |
|
4 |
Marseille - Bastia |
1 |
0 |
2,1 |
-1 |
1,68 |
-1 |
1,45 |
-1 |
|
5 |
Lyon - Nice |
3 |
3 |
1,73 |
0,73 |
1,38 |
0,38 |
1,29 |
0,29 |
|
6 |
PSG - Caen |
1 |
1 |
1,5 |
-1 |
1,24 |
-1 |
1,19 |
-1 |
|
7 |
Toulouse - Dijon |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-1 |
2,35 |
-1 |
1,8 |
-1 |
|
8 |
Angers - Montpellier |
2 |
0 |
2,25 |
-1 |
1,8 |
-1 |
1,5 |
-1 |
|
9 |
Rennes - Monaco |
2 |
3 |
2,25 |
1,25 |
1,8 |
0,8 |
1,5 |
0,5 |
|
10 |
Guingamp - Metz |
1 |
0 |
2,2 |
-1 |
1,75 |
-1 |
1,48 |
-1 |
|
10 |
Total |
|
|
|
-2,92 |
|
-3,39 |
|
-3,53 |
|
№ |
Premier League (Russia) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
21.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
GazovikOrenbur - Rostov |
2 |
0 |
5,75 |
-1 |
4,65 |
-1 |
2,75 |
-1 |
|
2 |
Tomsk - Krasnodar |
1 |
5 |
2,46 |
1,46 |
1,95 |
0,95 |
1,62 |
0,62 |
|
3 |
Lokomotiv M - Zenit St Peters |
0 |
2 |
3,1 |
-1 |
2,5 |
-1 |
1,9 |
-1 |
|
4 |
FC Ufa - Ural |
1 |
0 |
4,5 |
-1 |
3,7 |
-1 |
2,4 |
-1 |
|
5 |
FK ArsenalTula - Spartak M |
3 |
0 |
2,75 |
-1 |
2,25 |
0 |
1,78 |
0,78 |
|
6 |
AmkarPerm - RubinKazan |
1 |
2 |
4,4 |
-1 |
3,7 |
0 |
2,38 |
1,38 |
|
7 |
CSKA Moscow - AnzhiMakhachka |
4 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
2,38 |
1,38 |
1,8 |
0,8 |
|
8 |
KrylyaSamara - TerekGrozny |
1 |
3 |
3,55 |
2,55 |
2,85 |
1,85 |
2,05 |
1,05 |
|
8 |
Total |
|
|
|
1,01 |
|
1,18 |
|
1,63 |
|
№ |
CzechLiga (Czech-republic) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
27.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
MFK Karviná - FK BaumitJablo |
0 |
2 |
2,38 |
-1 |
1,95 |
-1 |
1,6 |
-1 |
|
2 |
FK Teplice - DuklaPraha |
0 |
1 |
2,75 |
-1 |
2,25 |
-1 |
1,73 |
-1 |
|
3 |
HradecKralove - Bohemians 1905 |
1 |
0 |
2,75 |
-1 |
2,25 |
-1 |
1,75 |
-1 |
|
4 |
Slovacko - SpartaPrague |
1 |
1 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2,15 |
-1 |
1,7 |
-1 |
|
5 |
FK Pribram - FC FASTAV Zlín |
0 |
2 |
2,5 |
-1 |
2,05 |
-1 |
1,65 |
-1 |
|
6 |
ViktoriaPlzen - VysocinaJihlav |
2 |
0 |
1,9 |
-1 |
1,53 |
-1 |
1,36 |
-1 |
|
7 |
SlaviaPrague - FC Brno |
4 |
0 |
2,08 |
1,08 |
1,63 |
0,63 |
1,44 |
0,44 |
|
8 |
SlovanLiberec - MladaBoleslav |
4 |
0 |
2,6 |
1,6 |
2,08 |
1,08 |
1,68 |
0,68 |
|
8 |
Total |
|
|
|
-3,32 |
|
-4,29 |
|
-4,88 |
|
№ |
Primeira Liga (Portugal) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
20-21.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
Sporting - GD Chaves |
4 |
1 |
2,15 |
1,15 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
1,45 |
0,45 |
|
2 |
Estoril - Arouca |
4 |
2 |
3,7 |
2,7 |
3 |
2 |
2,08 |
1,08 |
|
3 |
CD Tondela - Braga |
2 |
0 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2,15 |
-1 |
1,7 |
-1 |
|
4 |
Moreirense - FC Porto |
3 |
1 |
2,75 |
1,75 |
2,25 |
1,25 |
1,75 |
0,75 |
|
5 |
Boavista - Benfica |
2 |
2 |
3,1 |
2,1 |
2,5 |
1,5 |
1,9 |
0,9 |
|
6 |
Guimaraes - CD Feirense |
0 |
1 |
3,3 |
-1 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2 |
-1 |
|
7 |
RioAve - Belenenses |
2 |
0 |
3,3 |
-1 |
2,6 |
-1 |
1,98 |
-1 |
|
8 |
PacosFerreira - Maritimo |
0 |
0 |
4,25 |
-1 |
3,55 |
-1 |
2,35 |
-1 |
|
9 |
Nacional - VitoriaSetubal |
1 |
2 |
3,3 |
-1 |
2,68 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
|
9 |
Total |
|
|
|
2,70 |
|
1,45 |
|
0,18 |
|
№ |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
22.04.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
ZagłębieLubin - SlaskWroclaw |
1 |
1 |
3,55 |
-1 |
3 |
-1 |
2,13 |
-1 |
|
2 |
LechPoznan - RuchChorzow |
3 |
0 |
2,75 |
-1 |
2,2 |
0 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
|
3 |
GornikLeczna - WislaKrakow |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2,38 |
1,38 |
1,85 |
0,85 |
|
4 |
KoronaKielce - TermalicaNiec. |
0 |
1 |
3,1 |
-1 |
2,5 |
-1 |
1,93 |
-1 |
|
5 |
PiastGliwice - JagielloniaBia |
0 |
1 |
3,3 |
-1 |
2,6 |
-1 |
1,95 |
-1 |
|
6 |
Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock SA |
1 |
1 |
3,45 |
-1 |
2,85 |
-1 |
2,1 |
-1 |
|
7 |
CracoviaKrakow - LegiaWarsaw |
1 |
2 |
3,1 |
-1 |
2,43 |
0 |
1,88 |
0,88 |
|
8 |
PogonSzczecin - LechiaGdansk |
3 |
1 |
3,3 |
2,3 |
2,68 |
1,68 |
2 |
1 |
|
8 |
Total |
|
|
|
-1,70 |
|
-0,94 |
|
-0,57 |
|
№ |
ProLeague (Belgium) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
12.03.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
ClubBrugge - Sint-Truidense |
2 |
2 |
2,35 |
1,35 |
1,85 |
0,85 |
1,53 |
0,53 |
|
2 |
Anderlecht - Waasland-Bevere |
3 |
0 |
2,2 |
-1 |
1,75 |
0 |
1,48 |
0,48 |
|
3 |
StandardLiege - KV Oostende |
2 |
2 |
2,68 |
1,68 |
2,15 |
1,15 |
1,7 |
0,7 |
|
4 |
Gent - KV Mechelen |
3 |
0 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2,1 |
0 |
1,68 |
0,68 |
|
5 |
KV Kortrijk - Mouscron-Peruwe |
0 |
2 |
2,85 |
-1 |
2,3 |
-1 |
1,8 |
-1 |
|
6 |
KAS Eupen - Zulte-Waregem |
1 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2,35 |
1,35 |
1,83 |
0,83 |
|
7 |
Lokeren - Charleroi |
0 |
0 |
4,5 |
-1 |
3,7 |
-1 |
2,35 |
-1 |
|
8 |
Westerlo - Genk |
0 |
4 |
2,5 |
1,5 |
2,03 |
1,03 |
1,63 |
0,63 |
|
8 |
Total |
|
|
|
2,53 |
|
2,38 |
|
1,85 |
|
№ |
Superliga (Denmark) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||
|
19.03.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|
|
1 |
Viborg FF - AaB |
2 |
1 |
3,45 |
-1 |
2,75 |
0 |
2,03 |
1,03 |
|
2 |
Midtjylland - FC Nordsjaellan |
1 |
2 |
2,68 |
-1 |
2,1 |
0 |
1,68 |
0,68 |
|
3 |
Esbjerg - AC Horsens |
1 |
1 |
3,55 |
-1 |
2,85 |
-1 |
2,05 |
-1 |
|
4 |
Brondby - LyngbyBoldklub |
3 |
2 |
3,55 |
2,55 |
2,85 |
1,85 |
2,05 |
1,05 |
|
5 |
AGF Aarhus - Odense BK |
1 |
2 |
3 |
-1 |
2,38 |
0 |
1,85 |
0,85 |
|
6 |
Silkeborg IF - FC Copenhagen |
1 |
3 |
3,3 |
2,3 |
2,6 |
1,6 |
1,95 |
0,95 |
|
7 |
Sonderjyske - Randers FC |
1 |
0 |
4 |
-1 |
3,3 |
-1 |
2,2 |
-1 |
|
7 |
Total |
|
|
|
-0,15 |
|
1,45 |
|
2,56 |
Today, are the last round in Premier League of Ukraine. Let’s look is the tendency are true:
|
№ |
PremierLeague (Ukraine) |
Goal |
Total 3.5 over |
Total 3 over |
Total 2,5 over |
||||||
|
31.05.2017 |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
H |
A |
Odd |
profit |
|||
|
1 |
StalDniprodz. - VorsklaPoltava |
|
|
4,4 |
|
3,64 |
|
2,43 |
|
||
|
2 |
Dnipro - VolynLutsk |
|
|
4,3 |
|
3,54 |
|
2,5 |
|
||
|
3 |
KarpatyLviv - ZirkaKirovohr. |
|
|
4,1 |
|
3,34 |
|
2,3 |
|
||
|
4 |
Dynamo K - ChernomoretsOd |
|
|
2,8 |
|
2,28 |
|
1,73 |
|
||
|
5 |
Zorya - OlimpikDonetsk |
|
|
3,66 |
|
3,13 |
|
2,19 |
|
||
|
6 |
PFK Oleksandria - Shakhtar D |
|
|
2,6 |
|
2,09 |
|
1,65 |
|
||
|
6 |
Total |
|
|
|
0,00 |
|
0,00 |
|
0,00 |
||
Also, many bookies have the odds on total goals of all matches of game week. As example, PARI-MATCH (https://www.parimatch.com/sport/futbol/ukraina-liga-pari-match) set Total goals 15.5 at the odds 2.05 on over and the odds 1.72 on under.
Of course, it is always possible and useful to look for the best odds in different bookmakers and increase you profit.
The team of Corner-stats.com considers that bets on “total goals over 2.5” at all Ukraine premier League matches of the last round at odds of Bet365 will make good profit. Good luck!
You can get full access to football stats of tournaments right now!
